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2024-12-13 23:03:26

After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.Goldman Sachs: CPI clears the way for the Fed to cut interest rates next week. It is expected that the policy will be gradually relaxed in the future. Whitney Watson, an analyst at Goldman Sachs: Today's CPI data clears the way for next week's interest rate cut. After today's data is released, the Fed will start a "silent period", and they still have confidence in the process of anti-inflation. We believe that the Fed will further gradually relax monetary policy in the new year.German Chancellor Angela Scholz called for a vote of confidence to pave the way for the February 23rd election.


German Chancellor Angela Scholz: Calling on legislators to work together for the benefit of the people.Analyst Anstey: Today's CPI data will hardly change anyone's prospects. However, those who still think that the Fed will remain inactive next week may reconsider, because inflation is not worse than expected. This seems to give the green light to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on December 18th.Joshua Benjo, a well-known AI expert: Artificial intelligence may "turn against human beings". According to a report on the website of the American Consumer News and Business Channel on November 21st, Joshua Benjo, a well-known computer scientist, a pioneer of artificial intelligence, warned against the potential negative impact of this emerging technology on society and called for in-depth research to reduce risks. (Reference message)


Broadcom shares rose 2.8% before the market closed.This week, the personal pension expansion policy will be announced, "the time point may be December 12". It was learned from insiders that the personal pension expansion policy will be announced this week, "the time point may be December 12". According to industry insiders, the personal pension pilot will be fully liberalized in the near future, expanding from the original 36 pilot cities to the whole country. At the same time, personal pension fund products are also expanding, and some mature broad-based ETF-linked funds and broad-based index OTC products will add Y shares. (21 Finance)JPMorgan Chase downgraded C3.ai(AI.N), saying that the cost of artificial intelligence games is too high.

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